"Overcoming the tyranny of the present requires high-level action and broad, sustained effort. Leaders across the US government must cultivate the cognitive habits of top forecasters throughout their organizations, while also institutionalizing the imaginative processes of scenario planners."

+ J. Peter Scoblic + Philip E. Tetlock

Caracal Reads: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction - Philip E. Tetlock + Dan Gardner