Caracal Business Insider | November 29, 2017

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North Korea, NAFTA, WeWork, Jimmy Fallon, Matt Lauer, Clemson

Caracal Business Insider | Daily
November 28, 2017
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider: Politics + Policy + Profits

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia


ROSS RANT

The Three Es and what your organization can learn from WeWork's acquisition of Meetup

As you think about your 2018 marketing efforts, take a page from the WeWork merger of Meetup playbook.

Yesterday it was announced WeWork intends to buy Meetup for the sole purpose of getting more people to interact with WeWork via education, experience, and entertainment (The Three Es) - all in an effort to see the WeWork brand as a clubhouse for entrepreneurs and enthusiasts.

The big idea going forward = every retail, service, and consumer goods company with an office, conference room, store or open warehouse should learn from this - getting people to interact with your brand involves The Three Es coupled with off-hour engagement and maximizing your assets.

GEOECONOMICS

WSJ: North Korea missile launch shows ability to reach DC

NYT: North Korea tests a ballistic missile, in defiance of Trump

Nikkei: North Korea says new ICBM puts the entire
US instriking distance

The first missile test in more than two months reaches the highest altitude yet.

The dangers of de-globalization: Watch G-Zero World with Ian Bremmer and global economist and author Dambisa Moyo. https://goo.gl/EnV95X

The pendulum of power swings back towards the state: Three reasons to expect a shift in the balance between governments and markets.
Economist - Zanny Minton Beddoes

Bitcoin crossed the $10,000 mark for the first time in its nine-year history.

Outrage in Beijing: Bloomberg reports, a pair of controversies in the Chinese capital — the mass eviction of migrant workers and allegations of widespread abuse at local kindergartens — have exposed the challenges facing President Xi Jinping as he works to improve the country’s quality of life while strengthening one-party rule. 

Trump opens new front in trade battle with China: FT reports, US initiates first anti-dumping probe against major partner since 1985.

Trump gives Xi first taste of trade acrimony ahead: Pete Sweeney of Reuters writes, unimpressed with progress on North Korea and market opening, the White House has moved aggressively to target aluminium dumping. This is just an opening salvo in what looks set to be an acrimonious renegotiation of the world’s most important trade relationship.

China has a plan to rule the world
WP - David Ignatius

"China’s rise has been so rapid yet gentle in tone that it’s easy to miss how fast Beijing has expanded its ability to project power. The mesmerizing go-slow style of the pre-Xi years, summarized in the Chinese slogan “hide and bide,” has been replaced by what U.S. analysts now see as an open power play."

Belt and Road now leads to every Central, Eastern European nation: Caixin reports, China signs agreements with Estonia, Slovenia, Lithuania, and pledges billions in loans.

AFP: China warns of retaliation after fresh US trade probe

Five things to know about China’s new-energy vehicle policies: Caixin reports, subsidies are out, quotas are in as market becomes increasingly competitive. https://goo.gl/m6wtwi

Beijing evicts migrants onto cold streets, sparking outcry: AFP reports, dozen police swept through the pitch-black frigid hallways of tenement buildings in a ramshackle neighborhood of northern Beijing, posting eviction notices on every door with heavy thumps of their fists.

UK bows to EU demands on Brexit bill: FT reports, Britain agrees to total liabilities worth €100bn but will aim to pay less than half.

Britain to pay EU bills for decades: The Times reports, the UK government bowed to demands from Brussels to meet its long-term financial liabilities to the bloc.

It now costs the average Londoner 14.5 times their annual salary to purchase a home. 

AMERICAN POLITICS

NYT: Tax bill clears Senate panel as support widens among GOP

Trump's erratic deal-making style leaves both parties' lawmakers distrustful: LAT reports, Trump, the self-professed deal-maker, once again has dealt a setback to a bipartisan legislative deal — this time with potentially significant consequences: the threat of a government shutdown.

Inside the White House, Michael Flynn pushed a proposal from a company he said he had advised: WP reports, the then-national security adviser asked his staff to turn a memo from a former business associate into a proposal for the president. Flynn’s advocacy for the project surprised some administration officials and raised concerns that he had a conflict of interest.

Detroit likes NAFTA: Executives from GM, Fiat Chrysler, and Ford urged VP Pence on Monday to tap the brakes on proposed changes to NAFTA that they say could add thousands of dollars to car costs in the United States.

WP: CNN disinvites itself from annual White House holiday party for press

ENTERPRISE

ESPN's big bet on fantasy: Axios reports, ESPN Fantasy sports app is driving a massive chunk of the network's digital traffic, and Disney executives are looking to replicate that success for other networks.

Nikkei: Lenovo sells off more real estate as core business struggles

iHeartRadio launches podcast network targeting Middle America: Axios reports, iHeartRadio's top country music radio host Bobby Bones is launching the Nashville Podcast Network, a podcast network built to lure Middle Americans into podcasts.

NYT: WeWork to buy Meetup, the service for bringing hobbyists together

@cnntech: @Airbnb users will be able to split the cost of a listing with up to 16 people.

SpaceX raised $100 million in new venture capital funding.

Wells Fargo faces fresh wrath over auto, mortgage operations: WSJ reports, a federal regulator has advised Wells Fargo’s board that it is weighing a formal enforcement action against the bank over improprieties in its auto insurance and mortgage operations.

Goldman Sachs warns that the highest valuations since 1900 mean pain is ahead https://goo.gl/rRPnUG 

Daimler AG has turned down an offer from China's Geely to take a stake of up to 5 percent via a discounted share placement.

Reuters: Uber's third-quarter net loss widens to $1.46 billion

TRENDS

Double-clicking on the Chinese consumer: A McKinsey reports suggests rising post-90s generation is emerging as a strong engine of consumption, in one of four important new trends in the Chinese consumer landscape. https://goo.gl/jbJXuB

The Instagram beauty shop: L2 reports, with the holidays around the corner, J.Crew is taking extra measures to ensure shoppers have an Instagrammable season. https://goo.gl/8xCML9

The city of Chicago is suing Uber for failing to disclose the 2016 data breach.

So long, new sedan: New research from KPMG suggests that shared autonomous vehicles could more than half the number of car purchases made in America by 2030. https://goo.gl/omASaS

Robots and employment: McKinsey Global Institute says as many as 375 million workers around the world will need to find new occupations or lose their livelihood to automation by 2030.

CULTURE

@TODAYshow: Matt Lauer has been terminated from NBC News. On Monday night, we received a detailed complaint from a colleague about inappropriate sexual behavior in the workplace by Matt Lauer. As a result, we’ve decided to terminate his employment.

Rolling Stone: 50 best albums of 2017 https://goo.gl/NH1dbL

Grammy Nominations 2018: Jay-Z and Kendrick Lamar lead the way https://goo.gl/qvGvNi

Jay-Z received eight nominations for his album “4:44”

Standford Politics: How Peter Thiel and the Stanford Review built a Silicon Valley empire https://goo.gl/NZkc1E

A sharp decline for Jimmy Fallon’s ‘Tonight Show’: NYT reports, the latest ratings show that viewers are tuning out NBC’s fun-and-games approach and flocking to the politically engaged Stephen Colbert and Jimmy Kimmel.

SPORT

NFL ratings: After 11 weeks, the National Football League's 2017-18 season's average TV ratings are down 6 percent, to 14.7 million viewers, when compared to the same time last year. 

@AP_Top25: New college football playoff rankings:
1. Clemson
2. Auburn
3. Oklahoma
4. Wisconsin


Ex-Ohio State great widens lawsuit over commercial image use: AP reports, a former Ohio State and NFL star is asking a judge to let him expand a class-action lawsuit over allegations that marketing campaigns for dozens of big-time colleges and universities improperly used the images of thousands of current and former football players. Those athletes should be compensated, according to the proposed update of a lawsuit by ex-linebacker turned broadcaster Chris Spielman.

Caracal Business Insider | November 28, 2017

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Indo-Pacific, Pocahontas, Pokémon, Uber, NHL, NFL

Caracal Business Insider | Daily
November 28, 2017
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider: Politics + Policy + Profits

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia


GEOECONOMICS

Agustín Carstens urges US to maintain leadership in worldeconomy: FT reports, the outgoing Mexican central bank governor, a leading figure in global finance, has urged the US to maintain its "openness and leadership in the world economy" and warned that weaker international rules would hurt business in the US and worldwide.

A barrel of WTI Crude is trading near $60.

BOE says British banks could handle a ‘disorderly’ Brexit: WSJ reports, the U.K.’s largest banks could withstand Britain crashing out of the EU.

Nothing to see hear - all is well - extravagant prices for a Mayfair property still good.....

US indicts three Chinese for alleged cyberattacks on Moody’s, Siemens: WSJ reports, a GPS technology developer also targeted by employees of a technology company in Guangzhou, according to the indictment.

US charges three Chinese nationals over hacking: FT reports, DOJ and FBI allege information was stolen from Moody’s Analytics, Siemens, and Trimble.

Chinese general hangs himself after facing graft probe: AFP reports, Zhang Yang, the director of the state's Central Military Commission's political department, was being investigated over connections to two corruption-tainted former senior military officers when he committed suicide on November 23, according to the official Xinhua news agency.

Brussels rattled as China reaches out to eastern Europe: Nikkei reports, concerns Beijing's closer ties with EU's poorer nations will influence bloc's policies.

The ‘Indo-Pacific’ has always been about containing the rise of China: The use of the term to describe an emerging India-Japan-US-Australia alliance as a balance against Beijing is not a distortion of the term’s original meaning; it is the fulfillment of it.
SCMP - Abhijit Singh

Japan detects radio signals pointing to possible North Korea missile test: Reuters reports, Japan has detected radio signals suggesting North Korea may be preparing another ballistic missile launch, although such signals are not unusual and satellite images did not show fresh activity, a Japanese government source said on Tuesday.

AFP: Bali paradise turns to tourist nightmare as volcano rumbles

AMERICAN POLITICS

At Navajo veterans’ event, Trump calls Warren ‘Pocahontas’: NYT reports, standing in the Oval Office alongside three World War II code talkers, Mr. Trump made the unscripted comment about Senator Elizabeth Warren after other officials praised the veterans’ history and contributions.

#ClownShow

NYT: Senators race to pass tax bill by sweetening gains for rich

"Republicans, who are pressing for a Senate vote this week, can afford to lose only two of their members if they hope to pass the bill on party lines."

Senator Rand Paul (R-KY) said on Monday he planned to vote for the tax bill.

Senate GOP making last-ditch changes to tax plan: Politico reports, McConnell still needs to win over key holdouts before a vote this week.

Tax reform good for moving trucks, possibly: Economists at Goldman speculate that the current tax proposals could prod about 2 percent to 4 percent of top earners in New York City to move elsewhere.

AP: FBI gave heads-up to fraction of Russian hackers’ US targets

"The FBI failed to notify scores of US officials that Russian hackers were trying to break into their personal Gmail accounts despite having evidence for at least a year that the targets were in the Kremlin’s crosshairs."

How tech is winning the Trump era: Politico reports, despite friction with the White House and furor over Russia, some of the president's initiatives would boost Silicon Valley's bottom line. https://goo.gl/rXi1UB

December 12: Alabama's special election with Roy Moore (R) and Doug Jones (D) on the ballot.

GLOBALIZATION EXPLAINED BY A MICHIGANDER 

Marc A. Ross works with clients to develop executive education lectures, speeches, presentations, workshops, and conferences to help demystify globalization, disruption, and American politics. Learn more here.

ENTERPRISE

Death by Pokémon: The Verge reports, in the wake of the Pokémon Go craze, car crashes and fatalities jumped in physical regions associated with the augmented reality game.

Uber Japan’s chief departs for WeWork: Masami Takahashi is joining the co-working space company’s operations in Japan.

SoftBank to offer to buy Uber shares at roughly 30% discount: WSJ reports, SoftBank has told stakeholders in Uber that it will initially offer to buy shares at a nearly 30% discount to the company’s most recent valuation of $68 billion. 

Lyft is raising an additional $500 million in funding. The additional funding round, led by Alphabet Inc’s CapitalG, is an extension of the $1 billion round announced in October.

Smartphone cargo: Yumanman and Huochebang, China’s two biggest Uber-like services connecting truckers with cargo, have agreed to merge, creating a company valued at more than $2 billion.

Tesla truck will need the energy of 4,000 homes to recharge: FT reports, the research raises questions about the viability of quick charging time for the new vehicle.

Toyota chairman wants to tap the brakes on electrics: Nikkei reports, automakers 'won't be able to turn a profit,' Takeshi Uchiyamada warns.

Net Neutrality: Airbnb, Pinterest, Reddit, Tumblr, Twitter and Vimeo were among over 200 businesses that signed a letter to FCC Chairman Ajit Pai dated Monday, Nov. 27 (as in Cyber Monday), trying to dissuade him from his planned net neutrality rule rollback vote.

Scenes from Sears: 2 locations tell a story of struggle in a tight retail market https://nyti.ms/2i4Q634

Microsoft signed up SAP as a cloud partner in its latest effort to challenge Amazon’s dominance in the market for web-based resources.

NYT: What’s in that can of Chock Full o’Nuts? ‘No Nuts,’ can promises https://goo.gl/GKyUjj

"Chock full o’Nuts started as a company that sold nuts before switching to coffee and operating coffee shops."

Reuters: Roark Capital to buy Buffalo Wild Wings for $2.9 billion

TRENDS

Cyber Black Friday: American consumers spent a record $5 billion on digital sales this Black Friday, a 16.9-percent increase in dollars spent online compared with last year

Shopping becomes a hybrid experience, as stores and smartphones intersect: CSM reports, even in era of rising e-commerce, consumers still want the physical-store experience. And mobile phones have become the bridge between both worlds. https://goo.gl/sh6vdt

Online = Offline | Companies need to excel in both formats to be successful

@FoxBusiness: Americans could be sitting on $33 billion of unused tech, report says

CULTURE

Grammy nominations this morning: The nominees for the 60th edition of the music awards will be announced at 8:30 am ET. 

SPORT

Full NHL 100 Years documentary: Watch the entire film here: https://goo.gl/sGXhwq

Is this the end of the NFL?
NY Mag - Will Leitch

They used to wear Converse sneakers. How UNC’s long, close relationship with Nike began. https://goo.gl/9S3wKU

As sponsors shy away, FIFA faces World Cup shortfall: NYT reports, FIFA’s battered reputation is affecting its sponsorship program for next year’s World Cup. Several high-value slots remain empty with only six months to go.

AFP: Iran wrestler throws bout to avoid fighting Israeli

Caracal Business Insider | November 27, 2017

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Catalonia, Germany, Canada, China, Russia, Prince Harry

Caracal Business Insider | Daily
November 27, 2017
Curation and commentary from Marc A. Ross

Caracal Business Insider: Politics + Policy + Profits

Reporting from Alexandria, Virginia


GEOECONOMICS

Puigdemont calls for Catalonia to leave EU: The Times reports, the ousted Catalan leader came under pressure from his own pro-independence party today after suggesting that Catalonia should be allowed a vote to quit the European Union.

Barely a quarter of Catalans want to pursue split from Spain according to a poll published in El Pais newspaper on Monday.

Germany edges towards new government: Bloomberg reports, the political stalemate in Berlin is showing signs of easing as the main opposition Social Democrats began haggling over the terms of a renewed coalition with Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative bloc, rather than seeking to block an alliance between Germany’s two largest parties. 

FT: Brussels rattled as China reaches out to eastern Europehttps://goo.gl/XQT1UW

Canada PM Justin Trudeau to visit China in December.

China's electric-car push sparks gold rush for lithium: Nikkei reports, companies chase deals with Chilean and Australian miners.

Trump, Xi and the siren song of nationalism: A new generation of world leaders is embracing nationalist themes.
FT - Gideon Rachman

Nikkei: Xi Jinping bids adieu to his fellow princelings: Obedience, not bloodline, is the currency that counts in the new team. https://goo.gl/d5Gk5p

Political football: For better or worse, the World Cup will put Russia in the global spotlight. https://goo.gl/yt6fTA

CNN Money: Next stop $10,000? Bitcoin's incredible surge hits new heights https://goo.gl/gpDLto

1 Bitcoin equals 9772.98 US Dollars

Ending NAFTA would hurt growth, competitiveness of United States, Canada: Reuters reports, terminating the North American Free Trade Agreement would harm the U.S. and Canadian economies and reduce their competitiveness versus Asia and Europe, a report issued by the Bank of Montreal said on Monday.

AMERICAN POLITICS

Congress confronts jam-packed agenda with shutdown deadline looming: WP reports, bitter divides over spending, health care and immigration threaten to set up an impasse with government funding set to expire on Dec. 8. Leaders of both parties are set to meet Tuesday with President Trump in a summit that could smooth the path — or inflame simmering fights.

US senators under pressure to back tax reform: FT reports, Trump to meet lawmakers as party tries to firm up numbers.

Senate Republicans are rushing to secure votes to push a tax plan through the Senate as early as this Thursday. 

Some form of tax reform will pass in the coming months - probably not this calendar year but certainly before Election 2018.


LAT: Consumer bureau's deputy director sues to stop Trump appointee from taking temporary control of agency

WP: Official sues Trump to block his pick for head of consumer watchdog agency


@markknoller: Both Mulvaney and English are expected to start their day at @CFPB, each claiming to be Acting Director.

Bernie makes moves pointing to 2020 run: Politico reports, the Vermont senator is taking aggressive steps to address long-running political weaknesses, like his lack of foreign policy bona fides.

BRIGADOON SUNDANCE 2018 SPEAKERS 

City Hall, Corner Kicks, Cannabis, Computers, Cryptocurrency, Congress = some of the speaker topics for Brigadoon Sundance 2018. You can see the current list of speakers here:  http://thebrigadoon.com/speakers/

ENTERPRISE

Meredith and the Koch brothers buy Time Inc. for $2.8 billion deal. Meredith is the publisher of Family Circle and Better Homes and Gardens, will take over a roster that includes Time, Sports Illustrated and People.

Victoria Beckham lands £30 million private equity investment: FT reports, Neo Investment Partners will take an undisclosed stake in fast-growing fashion brand.

Uber in Israel: A court in Israel ordered Uber on Monday to halt a trial program in the Tel Aviv area.

Bloomberg: Why Tencent could become an advertising powerhouse like Facebook https://goo.gl/Nz1ECM

CULTURE

Prince Harry is engaged to his girlfriend Meghan Markle. The wedding will take place in the spring of 2018.

SPORT

China club taps Ajax to build 'best football academy': AFP reports, Dutch football giants Ajax announced a five-year partnership with Chinese Super League side Guangzhou R&F on Monday that will attempt to build the best youth academy in China. The multi-million-euro deal is the latest in a series of football link-ups between Europe and China, as the Asian superpower -- under football fan President Xi Jinping -- throws money at developing football in the country.

Toronto Star: Argos stun Stamps with fourth-quarter comeback to win Grey Cup