Is it better to innovate, create, or aggregate?

+ Business models, LVMH, and Bernard Arnault

A cuckoo bird is an odd inspiration for business success.

I mean, they're also shameless parasites - who wants to be a part of that?

Many species of cuckoos are known to leave their eggs in other birds' nests. Their success depends on letting entirely different species raise their young.

Ornithologists used to think that cuckoos simply wait for the right moment to lay their eggs in other birds' nests, but they have more moxie than that.

In a study published in the journal Ethology, researchers from the University of Granada found that the Great Spotted Cuckoo laid its eggs in magpies' nests while the magpies sat on them. These researchers thought that magpies had gotten sick of raising these ungrateful cuckoos and started sitting on their nests almost constantly while the cuckoos were incubating their eggs.

In Darwin-esque brinkmanship, the cuckoo called the magpie's bluff and went for the crazy (cuckoo, if you will) option, laying eggs in another bird's nest while the bird was still sitting there.

Even when magpies retaliated with aggressive pecking, the cuckoo always accomplished her mission and laid her eggs.

That is some moxie.

This brings me to business models, LVMH, and Bernard Arnault.

In 2019, LVMH announced that it had purchased the American icon Tiffany for $16.6 billion, adding to its sprawling luxury goods empire.

The Financial Times reported the acquisition is the latest in four decades of voracious dealmaking by Arnault and marks the luxury sector's largest deal ever. Tiffany, known for its robin's egg blue boxes, will join a stable of LVMH brands that has diversified far beyond its roots in Christian Dior couture, Louis Vuitton luggage, and Hennessy Cognac to include Rimowa suitcases, make-up by pop star Rihanna, and even train journeys across Europe on the Venice Simplon-Orient-Express.

"Arnault is like a cuckoo: he moves in and takes over others' nests rather than building his own," says Dana Thomas, author of Deluxe: How Luxury Lost Its Lustre.

Arnault has never stitched a bag, designed a ring, or launched a product - he and his team have simply made them better.

Going from zero to one sounds sexy and will get you on the cover of magazines, but a better move might be to innovate and make something better.

Anyone who has launched a new product and tried to sell it knows how challenging this process is - even for the best-funded, best-organized blue-chip companies.

Thomas Steenburgh, a marketing professor at the University of Virginia Darden School of Business, was inspired by his early career at Xerox to discover why firms with stellar sales and R&D departments still struggle to sell innovations. The answer, he finds, is that too many companies expect shiny new products to sell themselves.

Steenburgh wrote in the November–December 2018 issue of Harvard Business Review: "Successfully executing an organic growth strategy requires a deep and lasting commitment from the entire senior leadership team because bringing new-to-the-world products to market transforms selling organizations as much as it transforms buying organizations. When new products launch, the best companies are strategically aligned, from the sales force to the C-suite. They recognize that selling these products involves different barriers, and they develop new processes to overcome them."

In today's global business environment, the best companies must deploy the right resources—know-how, technology, processes, and people—to generate consistent, healthy growth.

One of my favorite business books is Build, Borrow, or Buy: Solving the Growth Dilemma, by professors Laurence Capron of INSEAD and Will Mitchell of Duke University's Fuqua School of Business. It explores tactics for generating positive revenue.

The book examines the three fundamental modes—or "pathways"—for obtaining the resources needed to grow. These include developing the resources necessary internally or "building" them; contracting or partnering to get help; borrowing or " buying" them; and acquiring or "buying" them.

According to the authors, companies should be adept at all three.

From my own business experience as an entrepreneur and consumer, I know that the best organizations can innovate, create, and aggregate as needed, recognizing that these three tools, working together, are powerful.

-Marc

Why business leaders need to pay attention to the US-Russia reset - and China's role

As someone who analyzes global trends for a living, I'm watching what might be the most significant realignment of global power since the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. This week's direct talks between the US and Russia in Saudi Arabia aren't just another diplomatic meeting – they represent a fundamental shift in the international order that will reshape the global business environment for decades.

So, why does this US-Russia engagement matter for business leaders?

First, we're witnessing an unprecedented diplomatic paradigm shift. For the first time since the Cold War, Americans and Russians are negotiating European security without Europeans in the room. This development is a massive realignment of global decision-making power that will affect everything from trade routes to investment opportunities.

But here's what's fascinating: China and Ukraine's vast mineral wealth, estimated at a staggering $15 trillion, has emerged as a crucial piece in this geopolitical reset. These Ukrainian resources—spanning 100+ metals across 20,000 deposits—could break China's monopoly on critical minerals essential for advanced technology manufacturing. These resources represent both an opportunity and a strategic imperative for business leaders in the tech, automotive, renewable energy, and defense sectors.

As I see it, there are three critical implications for global business:

1. Supply chain revolution: Companies currently dependent on rare earth minerals from China might soon find an alternative source. Accessing Ukraine's mineral wealth is key to the broader US-China resource race.

2. Strategic realignment: Businesses need to reassess their European strategies as the traditional Atlantic alliance weakens and new power dynamics emerge—namely, a shift to the markets and security of the Indo-Pacific. Today, European leaders are watching from the sidelines, a stark change from decades of transatlantic cooperation.

3. Risk management: The shifting balance of power in which Europe is a junior partner will demand new thinking on geopolitical risk and investment strategies. Consider that even before the US-Russia negotiations began, the US preemptively ruled out NATO membership for Ukraine and recognized Russian territorial gains.

For CEOs and business strategists, this isn't just about watching the geopolitical drama unfold—it's about positioning your organization for success in a rapidly evolving global landscape. Companies that understand and adapt to these shifts early will have a significant competitive advantage.

A new global order is emerging. For CEOs, staying ahead means reassessing supply chain risks, investment exposure, and geopolitical dependencies.

The key question for business leaders is: How do you prepare your organization for this new reality? The time to start planning isn't when these changes are complete—it's now while the new order is still taking shape.

The world-changing geopolitical developments of recent days have been exciting to watch but scary to observe without a strategy.

-Marc

Why China's latest tech moves matter for global business

What I'm seeing in China's AI landscape is fostering true global tech competition—competition that American Big Tech should not wall itself from via tariffs and protectionism. DeepSeek's breakthrough using a "mixture of expert" technology isn't just another AI development—it's a masterclass in strategic innovation that should make American tech leaders pause and reflect.

Here's the strategic implication that's not getting enough attention: Chinese firms are proving they can compete effectively with US tech giants while operating on significantly smaller budgets. This isn't just about cost efficiency; it's about a fundamental shift in how innovation happens in AI.

The real story here is bigger than technology. Xi Jinping's renewed engagement with tech leaders like Jack Ma signals a sophisticated recalibration of China's approach to innovation. Beijing is attempting something unprecedented: maintaining state oversight while fostering the entrepreneurial environment needed for cutting-edge AI development. It is also a reminder that when it comes to China if you are still alive, you are still in the game - just like Jack Ma.

For global executives, the Chinese Communist Party's efforts to embrace tech entrepreneurs like Ma and companies like DeepSeek create a new global competitive tech environment. The assumption that US tech dominance in AI is decades ahead of China needs serious reassessment. We're entering an era where capital efficiency in AI development will matter more than brute-force technology programming and massive financial muscle.

The implications for business strategy are clear: Companies need to monitor the emerging patterns of innovation in China's AI sector. Tomorrow's competitive advantages will not come from the biggest R&D budget but from those who can innovate efficiently and quickly within constraints.

-Marc