Why China's latest tech moves matter for global business

What I'm seeing in China's AI landscape is fostering true global tech competition—competition that American Big Tech should not wall itself from via tariffs and protectionism. DeepSeek's breakthrough using a "mixture of expert" technology isn't just another AI development—it's a masterclass in strategic innovation that should make American tech leaders pause and reflect.

Here's the strategic implication that's not getting enough attention: Chinese firms are proving they can compete effectively with US tech giants while operating on significantly smaller budgets. This isn't just about cost efficiency; it's about a fundamental shift in how innovation happens in AI.

The real story here is bigger than technology. Xi Jinping's renewed engagement with tech leaders like Jack Ma signals a sophisticated recalibration of China's approach to innovation. Beijing is attempting something unprecedented: maintaining state oversight while fostering the entrepreneurial environment needed for cutting-edge AI development. It is also a reminder that when it comes to China if you are still alive, you are still in the game - just like Jack Ma.

For global executives, the Chinese Communist Party's efforts to embrace tech entrepreneurs like Ma and companies like DeepSeek create a new global competitive tech environment. The assumption that US tech dominance in AI is decades ahead of China needs serious reassessment. We're entering an era where capital efficiency in AI development will matter more than brute-force technology programming and massive financial muscle.

The implications for business strategy are clear: Companies need to monitor the emerging patterns of innovation in China's AI sector. Tomorrow's competitive advantages will not come from the biggest R&D budget but from those who can innovate efficiently and quickly within constraints.

-Marc

Sound More Interesting at Cocktails Memo | February 14

Here are 25 talking points for better conversation at cocktails from news of the past week.

1.30,000: The number of troops mobilized by Ukraine every month over the past year, according to President Volodymyr Zelensky.

2. King Charles + Queen Camilla are planning a Royal Tour of Canada in Spring 2026 before traveling to the United States.

3. Paris AI summit: The United States and the United Kingdom were the only nations out of 60 not to sign a joint agreement promoting ethics and safety in AI.

4. According to the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, data centers already consume more than 4 percent of all US electricity.

5. QOTW: “The majority of the US GDP will be created or attributable to AI agents in the next decade. That’s my prediction.” -- George Sivulka, founder of Hebbia.

6. EU + AI: The European Commission commits €200 billion for AI investments in Europe.

7. FRA + AI: French President Emanuel Macron pledges €109B in investments for French AI in the coming years.

8. Elon Musk-led group makes a $97.4 billion bid to control OpenAI.

9. Apple is exploring both humanoid and non-humanoid robotic form factors.

10. Apple expanded the TV+ video service to Android phones for the first time, aiming to boost its streaming subscribers.

11. 1.9 billion: The number of TikTok users worldwide.

12. There are about 582 million entrepreneurs on Earth.

13. According to the World Bank, Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of the world economy. SMEs account for 90% of global businesses and provide 50% of jobs worldwide.

14. NYSE launched NYSE Texas in Dallas.

15. According to Statista, the estimated number of companies worldwide will be approximately 358.7 million in 2024. This is a marginal increase from 2023 when there were 314.21 million.

16. An LA home destroyed in the Palisades Fire has drawn more than 60 offers. Until the January Palisades Fire, the house was valued at $2.7 million.

17. 140%: The increase in the average price of a dozen eggs in America from one year ago.

18. Gulf of Mexico: A new Marquette University poll found that 71% of respondents opposed renaming the Gulf of Mexico, with only 29% saying they favored the change.

19. Issa Rae canceled her event at the Kennedy Center after Donald Trump was announced as chairman.

20. Chili’s teams up with Lifetime for a made-for-TV holiday movie.

21. Joann is closing 500 fabric and craft stores in 49 states

22. Celtics City, a new HBO Original Documentary Series, premieres March 3 on Max.

23. The Jets have informed Aaron Rodgers that they will move in a different direction at quarterback.

24. Fox’s Super Bowl drew a record $800 million in advertising sales.

25. The 2025 MLS season kicks off with the MLS is Back weekend on Saturday, February 22, and Sunday, February 23.

Enjoy the ride + plan accordingly.

-Marc

This headline is useless for understanding a nation's economy

The WSJ ran this headline and story a few years back:

China reports biggest-ever annual trade surplus with the US: WSJ reports that China reported its largest-ever yearly trade surplus with the US last year while its overall imbalance with the world shrank, potentially strengthening the Trump administration's case for tougher penalties and other trade actions against Beijing.

The metric is helpful for lazy politicians but is useless otherwise.

A trade surplus is a useless metric to gauge the accurate state of a nation's economy, but it is a helpful tool for pandering campaign rhetoric.

You need to remember that, at its core, China is an assembly economy.

Thus, China's economy is a prime example of the obvious statement that the whole is greater than the sum of its parts.

Most Chinese companies import components and materials worldwide and assemble them into valuable products for sale globally.

No R&D. No branding. No marketing. No finance. No software. No logistics.

Consider the iPhone. China assembles components into a finished smartphone and ships an iPhone to customers in the United States.

However, Apple in California does all the heavy lifting to make the iPhone the iPhone. Apple handles the R&D, the branding, the marketing, the financing, the software, and the logistics.

Current trade surplus formulations do not measure all the activities executed by Apple listed above.

There is more to a nation's trade and economy than whether or not a nation has a trade surplus or deficit.

There is more to the state of a nation's economy than unloading boxes of assembled products at a port.

-Marc